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Global context

Global market context

The market-wide gauges that sit behind every country score — risk appetite, financial conditions, commodity prices, inflation expectations, and the shipping chokepoints that move global trade. Refreshed daily from free public data.

Credibility across the map

Every country's daily composite credibility score. Deeper green is stronger, red weaker; grey marks where coverage is still thin. Click a country for its full breakdown.

Fiji: 37.5Tanzania: 59.0W. Sahara: no scoreCanada: 61.4United States of America: 62.0Kazakhstan: 55.4Uzbekistan: 63.0Papua New Guinea: 58.7Indonesia: 56.7Argentina: 18.8Chile: 55.0Dem. Rep. Congo: 41.0Somalia: 37.2Kenya: 57.1Sudan: 13.8Chad: 56.4Haiti: 21.3Dominican Rep.: 59.2Russia: 54.1Bahamas: 51.9Falkland Is.: no scoreNorway: 68.7Greenland: no scoreFr. S. Antarctic Lands: no scoreTimor-Leste: 60.5South Africa: 61.2Lesotho: 49.3Mexico: 55.6Uruguay: 62.5Brazil: 55.4Bolivia: 43.5Peru: 56.7Colombia: 57.9Panama: 56.4Costa Rica: 58.4Nicaragua: 58.7Honduras: 50.4El Salvador: 56.2Guatemala: 59.2Belize: 54.5Venezuela: 14.3Guyana: 60.0Suriname: 50.7France: 59.0Ecuador: 52.4Puerto Rico: no scoreJamaica: 52.9Cuba: no scoreZimbabwe: 54.1Botswana: 55.1Namibia: 40.7Senegal: 56.9Mali: 58.3Mauritania: 45.3Benin: 59.2Niger: 59.3Nigeria: 46.5Cameroon: 51.0Togo: 56.9Ghana: 61.1Côte d'Ivoire: 57.0Guinea: 54.7Guinea-Bissau: no scoreLiberia: 59.0Sierra Leone: 26.3Burkina Faso: 58.0Central African Rep.: 55.5Congo: 52.5Gabon: 52.1Eq. Guinea: 48.0Zambia: 53.5Malawi: 19.7Mozambique: 38.0eSwatini: 56.7Angola: 50.5Burundi: 52.0Israel: 55.3Lebanon: 24.0Madagascar: 49.7Palestine: no scoreGambia: 53.9Tunisia: 50.0Algeria: 49.2Jordan: 55.7United Arab Emirates: 59.7Qatar: 59.8Kuwait: 57.3Iraq: 44.5Oman: 60.0Vanuatu: 60.2Cambodia: 55.4Thailand: 60.6Laos: 48.1Myanmar: 16.5Vietnam: 61.3North Korea: no scoreSouth Korea: 63.5Mongolia: 52.7India: 53.0Bangladesh: 52.1Bhutan: 61.9Nepal: 58.2Pakistan: 50.6Afghanistan: 50.8Tajikistan: 61.6Kyrgyzstan: 48.2Turkmenistan: 57.0Iran: 15.4Syria: no scoreArmenia: 54.8Sweden: 67.2Belarus: 59.3Ukraine: 51.1Poland: 66.3Austria: 59.2Hungary: 63.3Moldova: 64.1Romania: 50.5Lithuania: 52.8Latvia: 60.9Estonia: 58.9Germany: 59.7Bulgaria: 53.3Greece: 51.0Turkey: 17.5Albania: 61.6Croatia: 52.2Switzerland: 60.2Luxembourg: 61.7Belgium: 58.3Netherlands: 65.3Portugal: 62.8Spain: 55.5Ireland: 59.6New Caledonia: no scoreSolomon Is.: 60.7New Zealand: 59.1Australia: 60.4Sri Lanka: 58.2China: 54.8Taiwan: no scoreItaly: 58.1Denmark: 68.1United Kingdom: 60.5Iceland: 55.6Azerbaijan: 62.8Georgia: 53.3Philippines: 49.0Malaysia: 58.1Brunei: 62.6Slovenia: 60.6Finland: 64.1Slovakia: 58.8Czechia: 69.1Eritrea: no scoreJapan: 60.0Paraguay: 62.5Yemen: 24.0Saudi Arabia: 58.6Antarctica: no scoreN. Cyprus: no scoreCyprus: 54.8Morocco: 61.1Egypt: 49.7Libya: 36.1Ethiopia: 31.8Djibouti: no scoreSomaliland: no scoreUganda: 59.6Rwanda: 24.1Bosnia and Herz.: 54.8Macedonia: 57.5Serbia: 62.3Montenegro: 52.5Kosovo: no scoreTrinidad and Tobago: 55.2S. Sudan: 16.8
< 3535–5050–6565–80≥ 80No data

Volatility & financial conditions

EM equity volatility
29.3
as of 2026-10-29
Financial conditions (NFCI)
-0.49
as of 2026-10-23
Financial stress (STLFSI)
-0.58
as of 2026-10-23
Gold volatility (GVZ)
22.7
as of 2026-10-29
Oil volatility (OVX)
57.2
as of 2026-10-29
US dollar index (DXY)
121.3
as of 2026-10-23
VIX (equity volatility)
17.2
as of 2026-10-29

Commodities

Brent crude
$123.1
as of 2026-10-27
Copper
$14,473
as of 2026-09-01
FAO food price index
136.0
as of 2026-09-01
WTI crude
$103.4
as of 2026-10-27

Inflation expectations

10-year breakeven
2.3%
as of 2026-10-30
5-year breakeven
2.5%
as of 2026-10-30
5y5y forward breakeven
2.2%
as of 2026-10-30

Uncertainty & risk

Geopolitical risk (daily)
165.3
as of 2026-10-26
Geopolitical risk (monthly)
146.2
as of 2026-09-01
Global policy uncertainty (EPU)
241.7
as of 2026-07-01

Shipping chokepoints

Trailing 30-day vessel transits versus the 1-year baseline (%). Negative means traffic is running below its recent norm.

Bab el-Mandeb
-15.0%
as of 2026-11-01
Hormuz
-89.0%
as of 2026-11-01
Malacca
-0.9%
as of 2026-11-01
Panama
-12.5%
as of 2026-11-01
Suez
+4.0%
as of 2026-11-01

Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org)