Global context
Global market context
The market-wide gauges that sit behind every country score — risk appetite, financial conditions, commodity prices, inflation expectations, and the shipping chokepoints that move global trade. Refreshed daily from free public data.
Credibility across the map
Every country's daily composite credibility score. Deeper green is stronger, red weaker; grey marks where coverage is still thin. Click a country for its full breakdown.
Volatility & financial conditions
- EM equity volatility
- 24.5
- as of 2026-10-14
- Financial conditions (NFCI)
- -0.50
- as of 2026-10-09
- Financial stress (STLFSI)
- -0.72
- as of 2026-10-09
- Gold volatility (GVZ)
- 22.8
- as of 2026-10-14
- Oil volatility (OVX)
- 48.6
- as of 2026-10-14
- US dollar index (DXY)
- 121.6
- as of 2026-10-09
- VIX (equity volatility)
- 16.9
- as of 2026-10-14
Commodities
- Brent crude
- $126.5
- as of 2026-10-14
- Copper
- $13,543
- as of 2026-07-01
- FAO food price index
- 136.0
- as of 2026-09-01
- WTI crude
- $101.9
- as of 2026-10-14
Inflation expectations
- 10-year breakeven
- 2.3%
- as of 2026-10-15
- 5-year breakeven
- 2.3%
- as of 2026-10-15
- 5y5y forward breakeven
- 2.3%
- as of 2026-10-15
Uncertainty & risk
- Geopolitical risk (daily)
- 342.4
- as of 2026-10-13
- Geopolitical risk (monthly)
- 146.2
- as of 2026-09-01
- Global policy uncertainty (EPU)
- 241.7
- as of 2026-07-01
Shipping chokepoints
Trailing 30-day vessel transits versus the 1-year baseline (%). Negative means traffic is running below its recent norm.
- Bab el-Mandeb
- -18.8%
- as of 2026-10-16
- Hormuz
- -90.0%
- as of 2026-10-16
- Malacca
- -0.4%
- as of 2026-10-16
- Panama
- -15.0%
- as of 2026-10-16
- Suez
- -0.0%
- as of 2026-10-16
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org)