Country
Dominican Republic DOM
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d -1.2
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap92.7
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: silver
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Geopolitical45.4
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Growth38.4
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Liquidity53.2
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Governance53.5
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Dominican Republic sovereign credibility, in brief
Dominican Republic scores 58.4 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 6 of 20 in Latin America & Caribbean, the 75th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 5.1% vs 4.0% target (+1.1pp) — mild overshoot | credibility under pressure (58/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Executive summary
written 11 Oct · score 10 OctThe Dominican Republic scores moderate on credibility, with inflation 1.1pp above its 4.0% target and no scored policy stance.
- Composite position: The 58.4 score ranks #6 of 20 in Latin America & Caribbean, above the regional average of 51.9.
- Inflation gap: CPI at 5.1% sits 1.1pp above target, but the 92.7 credibility gap score is high for that miss, so its drivers are unclear.
- Policy stance: No central bank or policy-rate data is available, so behind-the-curve and communication scores are N/A.
- Geopolitics: Pressure is 45.4/100, driven by hostile US immigration and local police news with no link to monetary policy.
- Watch item: Whether the next CPI print narrows the 1.1pp gap to the 4.0% target.
Peer context
Rank 6/20 in Latin America & Caribbean · 75th percentile
Region avg 51.9 · best 63.5 · worst 16.1
Ranked either side
- Guyana 60.1
- Ecuador 58.7
- Nicaragua 57.2
- Costa Rica 57.0
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -7.5%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -2.0%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +4.7%
- as of 2026-01-01
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 140.8 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -1.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 1.8 | 2026-01-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 3.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 2.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 445.7K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 8.8% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 9.7% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 4.0 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 51.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 5.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 5.2% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 45.3% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $11,059 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 66.3% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | 0.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 0.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | 0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.