Russia RUS

Russia sovereign credibility, in brief

Russia scores 50.7 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 8 of 9 in East Europe, the 22nd percentile of the region. CPI 6.0% vs 4.0% target (+2.0pp) — moderate overshoot | credibility under pressure (51/100).

As of 2026-09-08 · scored daily from public data under methodology v6

Regional standing

Rank 8/9 in East Europe · 22nd percentile

In one line

CPI 6.0% vs 4.0% target (+2.0pp) — moderate overshoot | credibility under pressure (51/100)

Russia holds #114 on the headline ranking, against 8 others we score in East Europe. 1 of them sits in a stronger band than Russia and 1 in a weaker one. Their split: 1 in 65–80, 6 in 50–65, 1 in 35–50. Czech Republic tops them at #1; Romania closes them at #139. Closest either side of Russia: Ukraine at #107 and Romania at #139. Mid-table is where the ranking moves most: a couple of points reshuffles several places. Without a week-earlier reading there is no direction to set against the table yet. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within East Europe. 8 of these 8 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Russia score

What does a score of 50.7 mean for Russia?

50.7/100, band 50–65: some of the discipline holds and some of it slips, which is what the middle looks like. That is 0.7 points above the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Russia's central bank has already done, said and delivered.

How often is Russia's score updated?

Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-08 run. There is no reading from seven days ago to set this one against. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-08 figure outright rather than revising it in place.

What is the 50–65 credibility band?

Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and 50–65 is step 3. Russia clears its 50 floor by 0.7 and stops 14.3 short of 65. The step above is 65–80 and the step below is 35–50. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.