Russia RUS

Executive summary

Russia’s Central Bank is grappling with a fragile credibility profile, as reflected in a composite score of only 28 out of 100 and a narrow credibility gap of 5 points. Inflation remains well above the 4% target at 16.7%, pushing rates to 14.2% yet still insufficient to signal decisive control. The country sits last among nine Eastern European peers, and its high geopolitical pressure score (45.4) highlights persistent conflict‑related risks. In short, Russia’s monetary stance appears over‑tightening but ineffectual at restoring confidence, while diplomatic tensions—especially with Western powers—continue to strain economic stability.

Peer context

Rank 9/9 in East Europe · 11th percentile

Region avg 56.7 · best 70.3 · worst 28.0