Country
Mali MLI
score date 2026-10-09 · 30d +0.7
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap89.5
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical46.7
GDELT · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Growth71.8
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity—
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Governance23.1
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Mali sovereign credibility, in brief
Mali scores 57.8 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 11 of 43 in Sub-Saharan Africa, the 77th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.7 points over the past seven days. CPI 2.0% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (58/100) | slightly improving.
As of 2026-10-09 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 11/43 in Sub-Saharan Africa · 77th percentile
Region avg 49.3 · best 61.6 · worst 14.1
Ranked either side
- Burkina Faso 58.3
- Senegal 58.0
- Guinea 57.5
- Kenya 57.5
90-day trend
External pulse
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- +1.3%
- as of 2026-10-10
Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 109.2 | 2026-07-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -4.3% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 3.4% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 5.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 156.6K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 35.8% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 4.0% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 48.8% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 2.8% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 4.5% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 24.9% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $1,193 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 62.0% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -1.4 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -2.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.8 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.