Central banks
Meeting calendar
The next rate decision for each central bank whose statements we score, how its tone moved between the last two meetings, and how far its policy rate sits from what our Taylor rule asks for.
| Central bank | Next decision | Last decision | Stance change | Taylor surprise (pp) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magyar Nemzeti Bank HUF | 2026-11-17in 7d | 2026-10-20 | -0.09more dovish | +1.51 | calendar |
| South African Reserve Bank ZAR | 2026-11-19in 9d | 2026-09-23 | — | +0.29 | calendar |
| Bank of Israel ILS | 2026-11-23in 13d | 2026-10-21 | +0.07more hawkish | -1.99 | calendar |
| Bank of Canada CAD | 2026-12-09in 29d | 2026-10-28 | +0.30more hawkish | -4.29 | calendar |
| Federal Reserve (FOMC) USD | 2026-12-09in 29d | 2026-10-28 | -0.20more dovish | -3.77 | calendar |
| Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye TRY | 2026-12-10in 30d | 2026-10-22 | +0.55more hawkish | -14.83 | calendar |
| Swiss National Bank CHF | 2026-12-10in 30d | 2026-09-24 | — | -2.81 | calendar |
| Sveriges Riksbank SEK | 2026-12-16in 36d | 2026-11-04 | 0.00little changed | -0.98 | calendar |
| Banco de México MXN | 2026-12-17in 37d | 2026-11-05 | — | -1.32 | calendar |
| Bank of England GBP | 2026-12-17in 37d | 2026-11-05 | 0.00little changed | -3.96 | calendar |
| Czech National Bank CZK | 2026-12-17in 37d | 2026-11-05 | — | -1.21 | calendar |
| European Central Bank EUR | 2026-12-17in 37d | 2026-10-29 | +0.60more hawkish | — | calendar |
| Banco Central do Brasil (Copom) BRL | not listed | 2026-08-05 | -0.30more dovish | +1.77 | calendar |
| Norges Bank NOK | not listed | 2026-09-24 | 0.00little changed | -1.64 | calendar |
Dates:every decision date is read from the bank's own published 2026 calendar, linked on each row, and last checked on 2026-09-11. Where a bank's page could not be read, meetings are shown as "not listed" rather than filled in.
Stance changeis the hawk/dove reading of the latest meeting's statement minus the previous one's, on a -1 (dovish) to +1 (hawkish) scale, scored by a language model. Taylor surprise is the policy rate minus our Taylor-rule rate in percentage points: negative means the bank is looser than the rule. The rule is ours and simple; read the gap as a direction, not a target. The raw policy rate is not shown, under the BIS and IMF licence terms.