Country
Belarus BLR
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d -0.8
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap90.6
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve63.3
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical47.6
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth50.1
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity48.4
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance30.8
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Belarus sovereign credibility, in brief
Belarus scores 58.9 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 20 of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, the 39th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 4.3% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (59/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 20/31 in Europe & Central Asia · 39th percentile
Region avg 60.3 · best 68.3 · worst 47.4
Ranked either side
- France 59.4
- Turkmenistan 59.1
- Slovak Republic 58.7
- Spain 58.6
90-day trend
External pulse
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- +0.7%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Electricity demand, YoY
- -4.7%
- as of 2026-03-01
Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 103.1 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -1.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 3.8 | 2026-03-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 1.8% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 1.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 568.5K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -30.5% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 2.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 3.0 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 112.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 3.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 2.5% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 46.1% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $10,279 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 33.2% | 2019-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 70.3% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.8 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -1.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.