Country
Slovenia SVN
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d +0.8
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap90.3
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: silver
Behind the curve45.1
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-06 · coverage: silver
Communication76.5
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Geopolitical—
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Growth48.5
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Liquidity48.3
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Governance67.6
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Slovenia sovereign credibility, in brief
Slovenia scores 61.2 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 14 of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, the 58th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 3.0% vs 2.0% target (+1.0pp) — mild overshoot | adequate credibility (61/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Executive summary
written 11 Oct · score 10 OctSlovenia ranks 14th of 31 in the region with adequate credibility, held back by inflation 1pp above target and a policy stance that lags.
- Composite position: The 61.2 composite score is adequate and sits just above the regional average of 60.3.
- Credibility gap: The gap score of 90.3/100 reflects CPI at 3.0% against a 2.0% point target.
- Policy stance: The behind-the-curve score of 45.1 is the weakest component despite a 2.5% policy rate.
- Communication strength: The communication stance score of 76.5 is the strongest component and supports credibility.
- Geopolitics: No significant events occurred in the past 30 days, so no geopolitical pressure score is available.
- Watch item: Track whether the next inflation readings move back toward the 2.0% target.
Peer context
Rank 14/31 in Europe & Central Asia · 58th percentile
Region avg 60.3 · best 68.3 · worst 47.4
Ranked either side
- Ireland 61.5
- Albania 61.5
- Tajikistan 61.1
- Austria 61.0
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -31.4%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -1.9%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +4.8%
- as of 2026-06-01
- Industrial production, YoY
- +4.0%
- as of 2026-05-01
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0) · Industrial production: Eurostat, © European Union (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
Inflation & rates
| 10Y sovereign yield | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 | FRED |
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 104.3 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | 3.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 1.1 | 2026-06-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 2.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 1.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Industrial production index (2021=100) | 95.9 | 2026-05-01 | Eurostat |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 114K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -14.9% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 1.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 0.7 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Retail sales volume index (2021=100) | 103.1 | 2026-06-01 | Eurostat |
| Retail sales volume, YoY | 2.0% | 2026-06-01 | Eurostat |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 151.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 3.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 3.9% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| GDP per capita (USD) | $37,376 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 58.5% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | 0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | 0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Eurostat, © European Union (CC BY 4.0) · Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.