Country
Iran, Islamic Rep. IRN
score date 2026-10-09 · 30d -0.0
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap0.0
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-07-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical45.5
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth32.3
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity—
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Governance0.0
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Iran, Islamic Rep. sovereign credibility, in brief
Iran, Islamic Rep. scores 15.5 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band < 35. That ranks it 7 of 8 in Middle East & North Africa, the 25th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 87.9% (implicit target) — credibility severely compromised (16/100).
As of 2026-10-09 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 7/8 in Middle East & North Africa · 25th percentile
Region avg 38.5 · best 62.3 · worst 15.5
Ranked either side
- Libya 42.1
- Lebanon 23.0
- Yemen, Rep. 15.5
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -88.4%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- +8.4%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +6.1%
- as of 2025-04-01
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 676.9 | 2026-07-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | 11.4% | 2000-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 30.3 | 2025-04-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 0.3% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | -2.8% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 6.3M | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -1.9% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 0.5% | 2004-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 60.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 8.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 7.6% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 2.2% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $3,924 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 40.7% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -1.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -1.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.