Country
Timor-Leste TLS
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d -2.4
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap81.1
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-07-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical—
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth72.8
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity63.6
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance45.9
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Timor-Leste sovereign credibility, in brief
Timor-Leste scores 61.3 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 5 of 14 in East Asia & Pacific, the 71st percentile of the region. The score has risen 1.5 points over the past seven days. CPI 0.5% (implicit target) — adequate credibility (61/100) | slightly improving.
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 5/14 in East Asia & Pacific · 71th percentile
Region avg 54.8 · best 65.6 · worst 16.6
Ranked either side
- Brunei Darussalam 63.0
- Singapore 62.1
- Papua New Guinea 59.3
- New Zealand 58.7
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- +2.5%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- +7.9%
- as of 2026-10-11
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 125.9 | 2026-07-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -36.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 13.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 7.0% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 6342.3 | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 3415.5% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 10.0% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 5.8 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 95.4% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 1.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 1.5% | 2022-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 15.4% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $1,341 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 46.7% | 2022-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.4 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 0.4 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.