Romania ROU

Romania sovereign credibility, in brief

Romania scores 37.7 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 35–50. That ranks it 9 of 9 in East Europe, the 11th percentile of the region. CPI 10.4% vs 2.5% target (+7.9pp) — significant overshoot | weak credibility (38/100).

As of 2026-09-08 · scored daily from public data under methodology v6

Regional standing

Rank 9/9 in East Europe · 11th percentile

In one line

CPI 10.4% vs 2.5% target (+7.9pp) — significant overshoot | weak credibility (38/100)

Romania holds #139 on the headline ranking, against 8 others we score in East Europe. 8 of them sit in a stronger band than Romania and none in a weaker one. Their split: 1 in 65–80, 7 in 50–65. Czech Republic tops them at #1; Russia closes them at #114. The nearest neighbour above Romania is Russia at #114; none in this region sit below it. This far down, the neighbours worth watching are the ones climbing out. Without a week-earlier reading there is no direction to set against the table yet. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within East Europe. 8 of these 8 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Romania score

What does a score of 37.7 mean for Romania?

37.7/100, band 35–50: the target has stopped constraining much and survives as a stated intention. That is 12.3 points below the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Romania's central bank has already done, said and delivered.

How often is Romania's score updated?

Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-08 run. There is no reading from seven days ago to set this one against. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-08 figure outright rather than revising it in place.

What is the 35–50 credibility band?

Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and 35–50 is step 4. Romania clears its 35 floor by 2.7 and stops 12.3 short of 50. The step above is 50–65 and the step below is < 35. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.