Afghanistan AFG

Afghanistan sovereign credibility, in brief

Afghanistan scores 49.9 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 35–50. That ranks it 3 of 9 in Middle East & North Africa, the 78th percentile of the region. CPI 2.9% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (50/100).

As of 2026-09-08 · scored daily from public data under methodology v6

Regional standing

Rank 3/9 in Middle East & North Africa · 78th percentile

In one line

CPI 2.9% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (50/100)

Afghanistan holds #119 on the headline ranking, against 8 others we score in Middle East & North Africa. 2 of them sit in a stronger band than Afghanistan and 4 in a weaker one. Their split: 2 in 50–65, 2 in 35–50, 4 in < 35. Malta tops them at #41; Yemen, Rep. closes them at #153. Closest either side of Afghanistan: Algeria at #81 and Iraq at #130. 1 of the 8 is monitored rather than ranked — the dashes below. This far down, the neighbours worth watching are the ones climbing out. Without a week-earlier reading there is no direction to set against the table yet. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within Middle East & North Africa. 7 of these 8 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Afghanistan score

What does a score of 49.9 mean for Afghanistan?

49.9/100, band 35–50: the target has stopped constraining much and survives as a stated intention. That is 0.1 points below the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Afghanistan's central bank has already done, said and delivered.

How often is Afghanistan's score updated?

Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-08 run. There is no reading from seven days ago to set this one against. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-08 figure outright rather than revising it in place.

What is the 35–50 credibility band?

Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and 35–50 is step 4. Afghanistan clears its 35 floor by 14.9 and stops 0.1 short of 50. The step above is 50–65 and the step below is < 35. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.