Country
Netherlands NLD
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d +1.0
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap87.2
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: silver
Behind the curve42.4
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-06 · coverage: silver
Communication76.5
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Geopolitical46.3
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Growth53.9
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Liquidity83.5
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Governance79.5
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: silver
Netherlands sovereign credibility, in brief
Netherlands scores 66.6 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 65–80. That ranks it 3 of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, the 94th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.1 points over the past seven days. CPI 3.3% vs 2.0% target (+1.3pp) — mild overshoot | adequate credibility (67/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Executive summary
written 11 Oct · score 10 OctThe Netherlands ranks third of 31 in its region, but a 1.3-point inflation overshoot keeps its credibility gap high.
- Composite position: The score of 66.6/100 (adequate) sits 6.3 points above the regional average of 60.3.
- Inflation vs target: CPI at 3.3% runs 1.3pp above the 2.0% point target, pushing the credibility gap to 87.2/100.
- Policy stance: The 2.5% policy rate sits below inflation, a real rate near -0.8pp.
- Communication: The communication stance scores 76.5/100, which helps credibility despite high inflation.
- Geopolitics: Pressure reads 46.3/100, but most recent headlines are local incidents with little macro content.
- Watch item: The next CPI print matters most, since a gap that stays above 1pp keeps credibility under pressure.
Peer context
Rank 3/31 in Europe & Central Asia · 94th percentile
Region avg 60.3 · best 68.3 · worst 47.4
Ranked either side
- Norway 68.3
- Denmark 67.8
- Luxembourg 65.6
- Finland 64.9
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -5.4%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -0.6%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Electricity demand, YoY
- -4.0%
- as of 2026-06-01
- Industrial production, YoY
- +4.2%
- as of 2026-05-01
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0) · Industrial production: Eurostat, © European Union (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
Inflation & rates
| 10Y sovereign yield | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 | FRED |
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 104.4 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | 7.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 10.1 | 2026-06-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 0.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 1.8% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Geopolitical risk | 0.1 | 2026-09-01 | GPR (Caldara–Iacoviello) |
| Industrial production index (2021=100) | 104.8 | 2026-05-01 | Eurostat |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 1.4M | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -3.8% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 0.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 1.0 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Retail sales volume index (2021=100) | 102.2 | 2026-05-01 | Eurostat |
| Retail sales volume, YoY | 1.4% | 2026-05-01 | Eurostat |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 150.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 3.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 3.8% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| GDP per capita (USD) | $73,684 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 68.7% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | 1.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 1.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 0.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | 1.4 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 1.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 1.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Eurostat, © European Union (CC BY 4.0) · Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.