Country
Albania ALB
score date 2026-10-09 · 30d +0.9
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap92.6
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: silver
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Geopolitical47.3
GDELT · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Growth60.1
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Liquidity60.8
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Governance52.2
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Albania sovereign credibility, in brief
Albania scores 61.5 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 13 of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, the 61st percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.1 points over the past seven days. CPI 3.4% near 3.0% target — on target | adequate credibility (62/100).
As of 2026-10-09 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Executive summary
written 10 Oct · score 9 OctAlbania's inflation is close to target, but its 92.6 credibility gap score looks high for a 0.4pp miss.
- Composite position: The 61.5 composite sits just above the regional average of 60.3 and ranks 13th of 31 in Europe & Central Asia.
- Inflation vs target: CPI is 3.4% against a 3.0% point target, a 0.4pp gap.
- Policy stance: The inputs include no policy rate or scored central bank statements, so behind-the-curve and communication scores are unavailable.
- Geopolitical pressure: The score is 47.3, but most of the event feed is off-target crime news.
- Near-term watch: The opposition's legal fight and referendum drive against the 15-municipality reform.
Peer context
Rank 13/31 in Europe & Central Asia · 61th percentile
Region avg 60.3 · best 68.4 · worst 47.4
Ranked either side
- Latvia 61.7
- Ireland 61.5
- Slovenia 61.2
- Tajikistan 61.2
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- +29.1%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -0.2%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Industrial production, YoY
- +16.1%
- as of 2026-03-01
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Industrial production: Eurostat, © European Union (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 103.0 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -0.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 6.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 3.8% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Industrial production index (2021=100) | 96.6 | 2026-03-01 | Eurostat |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 165.1K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 7.4% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 8.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 7.2 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Retail sales volume index (2021=100) | 122.4 | 2026-05-01 | Eurostat |
| Retail sales volume, YoY | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 | Eurostat |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 79.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 10.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 8.4% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 39.7% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $12,998 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 50.0% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 63.5% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 0.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | 0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -0.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Eurostat, © European Union (CC BY 4.0) · Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.