Albania ALB

Executive summary

Albania’s monetary outlook remains cautiously solid, with a Composite Score of 63 and inflation exactly at target. The Central Bank's credibility gap sits near 93, reflecting a high but not alarming risk perception from market participants, likely tied to recent political turbulence rather than policy misalignment. The lack of BIS policy rate data precludes an assessment of the stance’s tightness, yet headline rates have held steady in line with euro‑zone trends. Communication is limited; no scored statements are available, so investors must rely on conventional tools and macro signals. Geopolitical pressure remains moderate at 47, driven by a series of protests over a Trump‑related resort and sporadic armed incidents that could disrupt local sentiment and spillover into the economy. Overall, Albania sits above its regional peers, but elevated political risk warrants close monitoring.

Peer context

Rank 6/30 in Europe & Central Asia · 83th percentile

Region avg 59.1 · best 68.5 · worst 53.0