Egypt EGY

Egypt sovereign credibility, in brief

Egypt scores 49.4 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 35–50. That ranks it 9 of 10 in Middle East, the 20th percentile of the region. CPI 14.9% vs 7.0% target (+7.9pp) — significant overshoot | credibility under pressure (49/100).

As of 2026-09-07 · scored daily from public data under methodology v6

Regional standing

Rank 9/10 in Middle East · 20th percentile

In one line

CPI 14.9% vs 7.0% target (+7.9pp) — significant overshoot | credibility under pressure (49/100)

Egypt holds #121 on the headline ranking, against 9 others we score in Middle East. 8 of them sit in a stronger band than Egypt and 1 in a weaker one. Their split: 8 in 50–65, 1 in < 35. United Arab Emirates tops them at #21; Turkey closes them at #152. Closest either side of Egypt: Bahrain at #93 and Turkey at #152. This far down, the neighbours worth watching are the ones climbing out. Without a week-earlier reading there is no direction to set against the table yet. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within Middle East. 9 of these 9 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Egypt score

What does a score of 49.4 mean for Egypt?

49.4/100, band 35–50: the target has stopped constraining much and survives as a stated intention. That is 0.6 points below the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Egypt's central bank has already done, said and delivered.

How often is Egypt's score updated?

Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-07 run. There is no reading from seven days ago to set this one against. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-07 figure outright rather than revising it in place.

What is the 35–50 credibility band?

Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and 35–50 is step 4. Egypt clears its 35 floor by 14.4 and stops 0.6 short of 50. The step above is 50–65 and the step below is < 35. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.