Country
Tajikistan TJK
score date 2026-10-09 · 30d -0.1
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap91.0
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-07-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical51.2
GDELT · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Growth58.9
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity73.0
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Governance30.0
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Tajikistan sovereign credibility, in brief
Tajikistan scores 61.2 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 15 of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, the 55th percentile of the region. The score has fallen 0.1 points over the past seven days. CPI 4.1% (implicit target) — adequate credibility (61/100).
As of 2026-10-09 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 15/31 in Europe & Central Asia · 55th percentile
Region avg 60.3 · best 68.4 · worst 47.4
90-day trend
External pulse
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -0.8%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +13.1%
- as of 2026-03-01
Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 257.9 | 2026-04-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | 17.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 2.0 | 2026-03-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 0.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 8.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 90.5K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -34.6% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 57.7% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 5.7 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 59.1% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 6.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 0.1% | 2016-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 37.4% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $1,637 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 79.8% | 2001-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 39.7% | 2016-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -1.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.8 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.8 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.