Country
United Arab Emirates ARE
CBUAE
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d -0.3
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap90.0
IMF / national CPI · as of 2025-12-31 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical48.1
GDELT · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Growth39.3
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity67.1
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance62.5
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
United Arab Emirates sovereign credibility, in brief
United Arab Emirates scores 61.1 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 1 of 10 in Middle East, the 100th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 2.0% (implicit target) — adequate credibility (61/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 1/10 in Middle East · 100th percentile
Region avg 53.1 · best 61.1 · worst 17.4
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -66.7%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- +13.2%
- as of 2026-10-11
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Current account (% GDP) | 15.7% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 8.3% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 4.0% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 2.3M | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -0.7% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 0.3% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 5.2 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 199.0% | 2023-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 2.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 1.7% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| GDP per capita (USD) | $50,274 | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 1.8% | 2013-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 82.2% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | 1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 0.8 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | 1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 0.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.