Country
Denmark DNK
score date 2026-10-09 · 30d +0.7
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap92.7
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: silver
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-05 · coverage: silver
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Geopolitical49.0
GDELT · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Growth51.6
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Liquidity85.2
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Governance85.0
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Denmark sovereign credibility, in brief
Denmark scores 67.8 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 65–80. That ranks it 2 of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, the 97th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 2.1% near 2.0% target — on target | adequate credibility (68/100).
As of 2026-10-09 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Executive summary
written 10 Oct · score 9 OctDenmark ranks #2 of 31 in its region, with inflation near target, but two scored inputs are missing.
- Composite position: The score is 67.8, above the regional average of 60.3, which rates it adequate.
- Credibility gap: The gap score is 92.7, yet CPI is only 0.1pp above target, so the score needs a closer look.
- Inflation vs target: CPI is 2.1% against a 2.0% point target.
- Policy stance: No BIS policy-rate or central bank statement data exists here, so stance is unscored.
- Geopolitics: Pressure is 49.0/100, but most headlines are sports and celebrity news, so the signal is weak.
- Watch item: Policy-rate and central bank statement data would fill the two empty scores and test the high credibility gap.
Peer context
Rank 2/31 in Europe & Central Asia · 97th percentile
Region avg 60.3 · best 68.4 · worst 47.4
Ranked either side
- Norway 68.4
- Netherlands 66.6
- Luxembourg 65.6
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -16.9%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -0.0%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +9.9%
- as of 2026-06-01
- Industrial production, YoY
- +7.4%
- as of 2026-05-01
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0) · Industrial production: Eurostat, © European Union (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
Inflation & rates
| 10Y sovereign yield | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 | FRED |
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 102.6 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | 12.2% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 3.3 | 2026-06-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 4.3% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 2.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Geopolitical risk | 0.2 | 2026-09-01 | GPR (Caldara–Iacoviello) |
| Industrial production index (2021=100) | 137.2 | 2026-05-01 | Eurostat |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 381.4K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 35.4% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 0.4% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 4.4 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Retail sales volume index (2021=100) | 101.1 | 2026-08-01 | Eurostat |
| Retail sales volume, YoY | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 | Eurostat |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 129.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 5.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 6.3% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| GDP per capita (USD) | $76,970 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 65.2% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | 2.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 2.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 0.8 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | 1.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 2.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 1.8 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Eurostat, © European Union (CC BY 4.0) · Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.