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Weekly briefing

EM policy credibility, week by week

Every Monday we publish the week's movers: the countries whose composite credibility score shifted materially, and the dimension that drove each move. Every number is computed from public data and validated against the underlying scores before it is published.

EM Policy Credibility — Weekly Briefing (2026-11-02)

Italy was the only country that moved materially this week, with its composite credibility score falling 4.1 points to 58.0.

  • Score change: Italy's composite credibility score fell from 62.2 to 58.0, a change of -4.1 on the 0-100 scale.
  • Main driver: The Credibility Gap component drove the decline, with a change of -11.6.
  • Panel scope: No other country in the 169 monitored countries appears in this week's movers list.
  • Data gaps: Eleven sources were degraded this week (BIS_POLICY_RATES, EMBER, EPU, FAO, FRED_CPI, ILO_CPI, IMF_CTOT, IMF_MFS, OECD_CLI, OECD_CPI and WB_NIGHTLIGHTS), so this picture is incomplete.

Movers

CountryBeforeAfterChangeDriver
Italy (ITA)62.258.0-4.1Credibility Gap

Data caveat: the following sources are currently degraded and may lag: BIS_POLICY_RATES, EMBER, EPU, FAO, FRED_CPI, ILO_CPI, IMF_CTOT, IMF_MFS, OECD_CLI, OECD_CPI, WB_NIGHTLIGHTS.

Weekly briefing

Every Monday: which sovereign credibility scores moved, by how much, and which of the seven dimensions drove each move. Free, and every figure is computed from public data.

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