EM Policy Credibility — Weekly Briefing (2026-09-14)
Greece posts the largest credibility gain this week, leading a broad rebound among the 169 monitored countries.
- Greece rebounds: Composite score rose 4.8 points to 53.3 on Credibility Gap improvement (+12.5).
- Latvia, Bulgaria surge: Both scores climbed on Communication Stance shift (+26.3), with Latvia gaining 4.1 points to 62.0 and Bulgaria gaining 3.6 to 55.9.
- Ukraine advances: Score gained 3.8 points to 55.4 despite modest Liquidity decline (−0.9).
- Chile, Senegal mixed: Chile gained 3.2 points to 58.6 on Behind the Curve improvement (+12.5), while Senegal fell 3.3 points to 56.5 on Growth decline (−22.8).
- Data gaps: Seven source indices degraded this week (BIS_POLICY_RATES, EMBER, EPU, FRED_CPI, ILO_CPI, IMF_CTOT, WB_NIGHTLIGHTS), limiting picture completeness.
Movers
| Country | Before | After | Change | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece (GRC) | 48.5 | 53.3 | +4.8 | Credibility Gap |
| Latvia (LVA) | 57.9 | 62.0 | +4.1 | Communication Stance |
| Ukraine (UKR) | 51.6 | 55.4 | +3.8 | Liquidity |
| Bulgaria (BGR) | 52.4 | 55.9 | +3.6 | Communication Stance |
| Senegal (SEN) | 59.9 | 56.5 | -3.3 | Growth |
| Chile (CHL) | 55.4 | 58.6 | +3.2 | Behind the Curve |
Data caveat: the following sources are currently degraded and may lag: BIS_POLICY_RATES, EMBER, EPU, FRED_CPI, ILO_CPI, IMF_CTOT, WB_NIGHTLIGHTS.