Country
Tunisia TUN
BCT
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d +1.0
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap79.2
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-07-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical48.8
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth42.9
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity26.1
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance40.8
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Tunisia sovereign credibility, in brief
Tunisia scores 50.9 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 2 of 2 in North Africa, the 50th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.7 points over the past seven days. CPI 5.7% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (51/100) | slightly improving.
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 2/2 in North Africa · 50th percentile
Region avg 56.9 · best 62.8 · worst 50.9
Ranked either side
- Morocco 62.8
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- +3.0%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -1.2%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +9.5%
- as of 2025-12-01
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 197.3 | 2026-07-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -2.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 1.5 | 2025-12-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 2.0% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 2.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Geopolitical risk | 0.0 | 2026-09-01 | GPR (Caldara–Iacoviello) |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 665.8K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -11.6% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 6.7% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 4.5 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 101.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 15.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 15.1% | 2023-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 77.7% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $4,657 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 42.5% | 2012-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 45.4% | 2023-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -0.4 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.