Country
Ecuador ECU
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d +0.6
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap90.6
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-07-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical45.6
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth52.3
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity59.0
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance39.2
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Ecuador sovereign credibility, in brief
Ecuador scores 58.7 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 5 of 20 in Latin America & Caribbean, the 80th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.7 points over the past seven days. CPI 1.3% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (59/100) | slightly improving.
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 5/20 in Latin America & Caribbean · 80th percentile
Region avg 51.9 · best 63.5 · worst 16.1
Ranked either side
- Guatemala 60.3
- Guyana 60.1
- Dominican Republic 58.4
- Nicaragua 57.2
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -7.9%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- +3.6%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +9.0%
- as of 2026-04-01
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade · Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 116.0 | 2026-06-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | 5.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 3.5 | 2026-04-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 1.0% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 3.7% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 1.1M | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 15.2% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 5.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 2.8 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 59.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 3.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 3.2% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 49.7% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $7,125 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 64.3% | 2025-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -1.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.