Country
Bahamas, The BHS
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d +1.8
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap92.3
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-07-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-04-01 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical48.0
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth40.4
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity23.9
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance61.6
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Bahamas, The sovereign credibility, in brief
Bahamas, The scores 55.3 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 13 of 20 in Latin America & Caribbean, the 40th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 3.6% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (55/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 13/20 in Latin America & Caribbean · 40th percentile
Region avg 51.9 · best 63.5 · worst 16.1
Ranked either side
- Jamaica 55.7
- Trinidad and Tobago 55.6
- Belize 51.7
- Honduras 51.4
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- +9.8%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -2.5%
- as of 2026-10-11
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 127.3 | 2026-06-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -6.6% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 1.5% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 3.4% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 39.3K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -1.1% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 0.4% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 4.0 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 79.2% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 9.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 8.2% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| GDP per capita (USD) | $39,455 | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 71.5% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 51.0% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | 1.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 1.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.