Country
Uganda UGA
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d -0.1
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap89.5
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical49.4
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth80.7
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity51.6
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance34.8
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Uganda sovereign credibility, in brief
Uganda scores 61.2 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 3 of 43 in Sub-Saharan Africa, the 95th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.1 points over the past seven days. CPI 4.1% (implicit target) — adequate credibility (61/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 3/43 in Sub-Saharan Africa · 95th percentile
Region avg 49.3 · best 61.7 · worst 14.1
Ranked either side
- South Africa 61.7
- Ghana 61.6
- Tanzania 59.5
- Benin 59.2
90-day trend
External pulse
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -2.4%
- as of 2026-10-11
Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 142.6 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -5.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 5.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 6.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 137.7K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 18.5% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 4.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 2.3 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 50.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 2.7% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 3.4% | 2021-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 39.2% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $1,206 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 54.4% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 79.4% | 2021-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.