Country
Papua New Guinea PNG
score date 2026-10-11
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap84.1
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical50.4
GDELT · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Growth58.3
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity69.7
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Governance28.5
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Papua New Guinea sovereign credibility, in brief
Papua New Guinea scores 59.3 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 6 of 14 in East Asia & Pacific, the 64th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.4 points over the past seven days. CPI 5.0% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (59/100).
As of 2026-10-11 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 6/14 in East Asia & Pacific · 64th percentile
Region avg 55.0 · best 65.5 · worst 16.6
Ranked either side
- Singapore 62.1
- Timor-Leste 61.3
- New Zealand 58.7
- Vanuatu 58.4
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -7.0%
- as of 2026-10-12
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -2.4%
- as of 2026-10-12
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Current account (% GDP) | 15.5% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | -3.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 5.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 36.1K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -20.7% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 0.0% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 4.9 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 131.1% | 2004-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 2.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 2.7% | 2022-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 41.9% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $3,020 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 52.0% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 52.0% | 2022-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.8 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.