Country
Guinea GIN
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d +1.6
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap76.3
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-05-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical48.9
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth76.3
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity55.2
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance29.9
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Guinea sovereign credibility, in brief
Guinea scores 57.5 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 12 of 43 in Sub-Saharan Africa, the 74th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.3 points over the past seven days. CPI 5.4% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (58/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 12/43 in Sub-Saharan Africa · 74th percentile
Region avg 49.3 · best 61.7 · worst 14.1
Ranked either side
- Senegal 58.0
- Mali 57.8
- Kenya 57.5
- Cabo Verde 57.2
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- +7.4%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- +3.7%
- as of 2026-10-11
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 174.2 | 2026-05-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -1.6% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 27.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 7.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 102.3K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -26.0% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 2.5% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 1.3 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 103.7% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 5.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 5.0% | 2019-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 23.2% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $1,877 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 52.9% | 2019-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -1.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.