Country
Lebanon LBN
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d -1.3
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap8.7
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical45.7
GDELT · as of 2026-10-11 · coverage: bronze
Growth37.8
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity34.1
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance19.7
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Lebanon sovereign credibility, in brief
Lebanon scores 23.0 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band < 35. That ranks it 6 of 8 in Middle East & North Africa, the 38th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.1 points over the past seven days. CPI 16.7% (implicit target) — weak credibility (23/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 6/8 in Middle East & North Africa · 38th percentile
Region avg 38.5 · best 62.3 · worst 15.4
Ranked either side
- Iraq 45.3
- Libya 42.2
- Iran, Islamic Rep. 15.5
- Yemen, Rep. 15.4
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -24.8%
- as of 2026-10-11
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -4.6%
- as of 2026-10-11
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 8816.4 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -28.1% | 2023-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 6.8% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | -7.1% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 186.2K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 27.6% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 33.3% | 2023-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 13.6 mo | 2023-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 82.2% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 11.0% | 2023-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 11.3% | 2019-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 331.6% | 2023-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $4,473 | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 48.9% | 2019-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -1.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -1.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -1.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.