Lebanon LBN

Lebanon sovereign credibility, in brief

Lebanon scores 20.9 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band < 35. That ranks it 7 of 9 in Middle East & North Africa, the 33rd percentile of the region. CPI 17.2% (implicit target) — weak credibility (21/100).

As of 2026-09-08 · scored daily from public data under methodology v6

Regional standing

Rank 7/9 in Middle East & North Africa · 33rd percentile

In one line

CPI 17.2% (implicit target) — weak credibility (21/100)

Lebanon holds #145 on the headline ranking, against 8 others we score in Middle East & North Africa. 5 of them sit in a stronger band than Lebanon and none in a weaker one. Their split: 2 in 50–65, 3 in 35–50, 3 in < 35. Malta tops them at #41; Yemen, Rep. closes them at #153. Closest either side of Lebanon: Syrian Arab Republic at #143 and Yemen, Rep. at #153. 1 of the 8 is monitored rather than ranked — the dashes below. At the bottom step, the peer that matters is whoever exited it most recently. Without a week-earlier reading there is no direction to set against the table yet. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within Middle East & North Africa. 7 of these 8 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Lebanon score

What does a score of 20.9 mean for Lebanon?

20.9/100, band < 35: target and outturn are barely related, which is what a lost anchor looks like. That is 29.1 points below the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Lebanon's central bank has already done, said and delivered.

How often is Lebanon's score updated?

Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-08 run. There is no reading from seven days ago to set this one against. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-08 figure outright rather than revising it in place.

What is the < 35 credibility band?

Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and < 35 is step 5. Lebanon clears its 0 floor by 20.9 and stops 14.1 short of 35. Nothing sits below < 35; the step back up is 35–50. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.