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Country

Italy ITA

Europe & Central Asia
59.2
composite credibility

band 50–65

+0.6
7-day

score date 2026-09-10

Italy sovereign credibility, in brief

Italy scores 59.2 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 15 of 30 in Europe & Central Asia, the 53rd percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.6 points over the past seven days. CPI 2.9% vs 2.0% target (+0.9pp) — mild overshoot | credibility under pressure (59/100) | slightly improving.

As of 2026-09-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8

Regional standing

Rank 15/30 in Europe & Central Asia · 53rd percentile

In one line

CPI 2.9% vs 2.0% target (+0.9pp) — mild overshoot | credibility under pressure (59/100) | slightly improving

Italy holds #51 on the headline ranking, against 29 others we score in Europe & Central Asia. 3 of them sit in a stronger band than Italy and 1 in a weaker one. Their split: 3 in 65–80, 25 in 50–65, 1 in 35–50. Norway tops them at #2; Kyrgyz Republic closes them at #126. Closest either side of Italy: Belarus at #45 and Slovenia at #58. 2 of the 29 are monitored rather than ranked — the dashes below. Mid-table is where the ranking moves most: a couple of points reshuffles several places. A rising score only buys places in this table when the names above it stand still. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

RankCountryCredibility band
2Norway65–80
3Denmark65–80
6Netherlands65–80
8Moldova50–65
11Azerbaijan50–65
12Luxembourg50–65
13Finland50–65
29Tajikistan50–65
33Estonia50–65
34Portugal50–65
35Albania50–65
39Ireland50–65
42Latvia50–65
45Belarus50–65
58Slovenia50–65
59Belgium50–65
60Austria50–65
64Spain50–65
72France50–65
79North Macedonia50–65
80Slovak Republic50–65
86Lithuania50–65
88Iceland50–65
95Cyprus50–65
103Montenegro50–65
112Greece50–65
126Kyrgyz Republic35–50
Bosnia and Herzegovina50–65
Turkmenistan50–65

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within Europe & Central Asia. 27 of these 29 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Italy score

What does a score of 59.2 mean for Italy?
59.2/100, band 50–65: some of the discipline holds and some of it slips, which is what the middle looks like. That is 9.2 points above the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Italy's central bank has already done, said and delivered.
How often is Italy's score updated?
Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-10 run. Seven days back it read 58.6, so the week added 0.6. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-10 figure outright rather than revising it in place.
What is the 50–65 credibility band?
Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and 50–65 is step 3. Italy clears its 50 floor by 9.2 and stops 5.8 short of 65. The step above is 65–80 and the step below is 35–50. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.

In the full profile

Seven-dimension breakdown · Executive summary · 90-day trend · Macro indicators · Peer comparisons

Every figure is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one.

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