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Country

Ethiopia ETH

Sub-Saharan Africa
34.0
composite credibility

band < 35

score date 2026-09-08

Ethiopia sovereign credibility, in brief

Ethiopia scores 34.0 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band < 35. That ranks it 40 of 44 in Sub-Saharan Africa, the 11th percentile of the region. CPI 13.8% (implicit target) — weak credibility (34/100).

As of 2026-09-08 · scored daily from public data under methodology v6

Regional standing

Rank 40/44 in Sub-Saharan Africa · 11th percentile

In one line

CPI 13.8% (implicit target) — weak credibility (34/100)

Ethiopia's regional peers

Browse all of Sub-Saharan Africa

Ethiopia holds #142 on the headline ranking, against 43 others we score in Sub-Saharan Africa. 37 of them sit in a stronger band than Ethiopia and none in a weaker one. Their split: 26 in 50–65, 11 in 35–50, 6 in < 35. Uganda tops them at #22; Sudan closes them at #154. Closest either side of Ethiopia: Mozambique at #141 and Sierra Leone at #144. 11 of the 43 are monitored rather than ranked — the dashes below. At the bottom step, the peer that matters is whoever exited it most recently. Without a week-earlier reading there is no direction to set against the table yet. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

RankCountryCredibility band
22Uganda50–65
39Ghana50–65
48Tanzania50–65
52Kenya50–65
56Cabo Verde50–65
58Liberia50–65
59South Africa50–65
77Eswatini50–65
80Guinea50–65
87Mauritius50–65
100Gambia, The50–65
102Congo, Rep.50–65
105Namibia50–65
106Cameroon50–65
109Gabon50–65
111Zambia50–65
112Eritrea50–65
118Botswana35–50
122Madagascar35–50
123Lesotho35–50
126Zimbabwe35–50
129Nigeria35–50
131Burundi35–50
132Mauritania35–50
133Angola35–50
134Congo, Dem. Rep.35–50
140Rwanda35–50
141Mozambique< 35
144Sierra Leone< 35
146Malawi< 35
149South Sudan< 35
154Sudan< 35
Benin50–65
Burkina Faso50–65
Central African Republic50–65
Chad50–65
Cote d'Ivoire50–65
Equatorial Guinea35–50
Mali50–65
Niger50–65
Senegal50–65
Somalia, Fed. Rep.< 35
Togo50–65

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within Sub-Saharan Africa. 32 of these 43 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Ethiopia score

What does a score of 34.0 mean for Ethiopia?
34.0/100, band < 35: target and outturn are barely related, which is what a lost anchor looks like. That is 16.0 points below the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Ethiopia's central bank has already done, said and delivered.
How often is Ethiopia's score updated?
Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-08 run. There is no reading from seven days ago to set this one against. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-08 figure outright rather than revising it in place.
What is the < 35 credibility band?
Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and < 35 is step 5. Ethiopia clears its 0 floor by 34.0 and stops 1.0 short of 35. Nothing sits below < 35; the step back up is 35–50. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.

In the full profile

Seven-dimension breakdown · Executive summary · 90-day trend · Macro indicators · Peer comparisons

Every figure is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one.

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