Country
Ethiopia ETH
score date 2026-10-09 · 30d -1.9
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap8.6
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical42.0
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth84.7
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity58.6
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Governance30.7
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Ethiopia sovereign credibility, in brief
Ethiopia scores 32.1 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band < 35. That ranks it 38 of 43 in Sub-Saharan Africa, the 14th percentile of the region. The score has fallen 0.5 points over the past seven days. CPI 15.1% (implicit target) — weak credibility (32/100) | slightly weakening.
As of 2026-10-09 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 38/43 in Sub-Saharan Africa · 14th percentile
Region avg 49.3 · best 61.6 · worst 14.1
Ranked either side
- Congo, Dem. Rep. 41.1
- Somalia, Fed. Rep. 37.1
- Rwanda 30.2
- Sierra Leone 27.8
90-day trend
External pulse
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -2.8%
- as of 2026-10-10
Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 586.6 | 2026-05-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -2.5% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 2.7% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 9.8% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 235.7K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 73.4% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 4.8% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 1.8 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 33.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 3.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 3.9% | 2021-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 24.3% | 2022-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $933 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 31.4% | 2019-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 68.3% | 2021-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.4 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -1.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.