Country
Malawi MWI
score date 2026-10-10 · 30d +0.1
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap2.2
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical48.4
GDELT · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Growth37.4
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity40.6
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Governance42.8
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-10 · coverage: bronze
Malawi sovereign credibility, in brief
Malawi scores 19.5 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band < 35. That ranks it 41 of 43 in Sub-Saharan Africa, the 7th percentile of the region. The score has fallen 0.1 points over the past seven days. CPI 20.0% (implicit target) — credibility severely compromised (20/100).
As of 2026-10-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 41/43 in Sub-Saharan Africa · 7th percentile
Region avg 49.3 · best 61.7 · worst 14.1
Ranked either side
- Rwanda 30.1
- Sierra Leone 27.8
- South Sudan 17.3
- Sudan 14.1
90-day trend
External pulse
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -2.1%
- as of 2026-10-11
Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 297.1 | 2026-08-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -14.0% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 3.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 1.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 50.9K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | 87.1% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 2.0% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 1.9 mo | 2020-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 39.4% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 5.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 15.4% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 35.2% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $672 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 61.8% | 2023-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 49.6% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | -0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -0.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.