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Country

Malawi MWI

Sub-Saharan Africa
19.4
composite credibility

band < 35

+0.2
7-day

score date 2026-09-10

Malawi sovereign credibility, in brief

Malawi scores 19.4 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band < 35. That ranks it 41 of 43 in Sub-Saharan Africa, the 7th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.2 points over the past seven days. CPI 20.9% (implicit target) — credibility severely compromised (19/100).

As of 2026-09-10 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8

Regional standing

Rank 41/43 in Sub-Saharan Africa · 7th percentile

In one line

CPI 20.9% (implicit target) — credibility severely compromised (19/100)

Malawi holds #144 on the headline ranking, against 42 others we score in Sub-Saharan Africa. 36 of them sit in a stronger band than Malawi and none in a weaker one. Their split: 26 in 50–65, 10 in 35–50, 6 in < 35. Uganda tops them at #26; Sudan closes them at #152. Closest either side of Malawi: Sierra Leone at #142 and South Sudan at #147. 11 of the 42 are monitored rather than ranked — the dashes below. At the bottom step, the peer that matters is whoever exited it most recently. A rising score only buys places in this table when the names above it stand still. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

RankCountryCredibility band
26Uganda50–65
36Ghana50–65
43South Africa50–65
53Tanzania50–65
56Kenya50–65
62Liberia50–65
73Cabo Verde50–65
78Eswatini50–65
83Guinea50–65
97Mauritius50–65
98Gabon50–65
102Gambia, The50–65
105Namibia50–65
107Congo, Rep.50–65
110Cameroon50–65
113Zambia50–65
116Botswana50–65
120Lesotho35–50
122Madagascar35–50
124Zimbabwe35–50
125Angola35–50
129Nigeria35–50
131Burundi35–50
132Mauritania35–50
133Congo, Dem. Rep.35–50
136Rwanda35–50
140Mozambique< 35
141Ethiopia< 35
142Sierra Leone< 35
147South Sudan< 35
152Sudan< 35
Benin50–65
Burkina Faso50–65
Central African Republic50–65
Chad50–65
Cote d'Ivoire50–65
Equatorial Guinea35–50
Mali50–65
Niger50–65
Senegal50–65
Somalia, Fed. Rep.< 35
Togo50–65

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within Sub-Saharan Africa. 31 of these 42 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Malawi score

What does a score of 19.4 mean for Malawi?
19.4/100, band < 35: target and outturn are barely related, which is what a lost anchor looks like. That is 30.6 points below the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Malawi's central bank has already done, said and delivered.
How often is Malawi's score updated?
Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-10 run. Seven days back it read 19.3, so the week added 0.2. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-10 figure outright rather than revising it in place.
What is the < 35 credibility band?
Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and < 35 is step 5. Malawi clears its 0 floor by 19.4 and stops 15.6 short of 35. Nothing sits below < 35; the step back up is 35–50. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.

In the full profile

Seven-dimension breakdown · Executive summary · 90-day trend · Macro indicators · Peer comparisons

Every figure is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one.

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