EM Policy Credibility — Weekly Briefing (2026-09-07)
Bulgaria recorded the panel's sole material credibility gain this week, lifting its composite score to 57.7.
- Bulgaria's advance: The country rose from 52.6 to 57.7, a week-over-week gain of 5.1 points.
- Credibility gap driver: The move was propelled by a +33.2 surge in Bulgaria's Credibility Gap component.
- Data gaps: Nine data sources degraded this week (BIS policy rates, EMBER, EPU, FRED CPI, IMF commodity terms of trade, IMF IFS CPI, IMF Ministry Finance Statistics, OECD CPI, World Bank nightlights), limiting the panel's completeness.
Movers
| Country | Before | After | Change | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria (BGR) | 52.6 | 57.7 | +5.1 | Credibility Gap |
Data caveat: the following sources are currently degraded and may lag: BIS_POLICY_RATES, EMBER, EPU, FRED_CPI, IMF_CTOT, IMF_IFS_CPI, IMF_MFS, OECD_CPI, WB_NIGHTLIGHTS.