Country
Kosovo XKX
score date 2026-10-15 · 30d +0.4
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap66.7
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-10-15 · coverage: silver
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-15 · coverage: silver
Communication76.5
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-15 · coverage: silver
Geopolitical—
GDELT · as of 2026-10-15 · coverage: silver
Growth—
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-15 · coverage: silver
Liquidity43.0
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-15 · coverage: silver
Governance48.1
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-15 · coverage: silver
Kosovo sovereign credibility, in brief
Kosovo scores 55.1 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 29 of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, the 10th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 5.9% vs 2.0% target (+3.9pp) — moderate overshoot | credibility under pressure (55/100).
As of 2026-10-15 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Executive summary
written 11 Oct · score 15 OctKosovo scores 55.1 (moderate) and ranks 28th of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, with inflation far above target.
- Composite position: The score of 55.1 sits about 5 points below the regional average of 60.3.
- Credibility gap: The gap score of 66.7 is wide because inflation runs well above target.
- Inflation vs target: CPI of 5.9% is 3.9 points above the 2.0% point target.
- Policy stance: Communication scores 76.5, but missing policy rate data prevents a test of whether policy lags inflation.
- Geopolitics: No significant events were logged in the past 30 days, and no geopolitical pressure score is available.
- Watch item: Track the next CPI print for signs that inflation is narrowing the 3.9-point gap.
Peer context
Rank 29/31 in Europe & Central Asia · 10th percentile
Region avg 60.5 · best 68.6 · worst 47.4
Ranked either side
- Iceland 55.9
- Greece 55.6
- Bosnia and Herzegovina 54.7
- Kyrgyz Republic 47.4
90-day trend
External pulse
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +3.6%
- as of 2026-04-01
Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Current account (% GDP) | -8.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 0.6 | 2026-04-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 10.0% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 3.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 133.1K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -2.7% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 17.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 1.8 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 118.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 38.6% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $7,899 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.