Country
Kosovo XKX
score date 2026-10-28 · 30d -1.4
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap57.5
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-10-28 · coverage: silver
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-28 · coverage: silver
Communication76.5
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-28 · coverage: silver
Geopolitical—
GDELT · as of 2026-10-28 · coverage: silver
Growth—
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-28 · coverage: silver
Liquidity43.7
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-28 · coverage: silver
Governance48.1
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-28 · coverage: silver
Kosovo sovereign credibility, in brief
Kosovo scores 53.7 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 29 of 31 in Europe & Central Asia, the 10th percentile of the region. The score is unchanged over the past seven days. CPI 6.8% vs 2.0% target (+4.8pp) — moderate overshoot | credibility under pressure (54/100).
As of 2026-10-28 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Executive summary
written 25 Oct · score 28 OctKosovo's credibility is weak: inflation at 6.8% sits 4.8pp above target, and the region ranks it near the bottom.
- Composite position: Kosovo scores 53.8/100 (moderate) and ranks #29 of 31 in the region, against a regional average of 59.8.
- Inflation gap: CPI at 6.8% sits 4.8pp above the 2.0% point target, driving a credibility gap of 57.5/100.
- Policy stance: Communication scores 76.5/100, but behind-the-curve scoring is N/A because no BIS policy rate data is available.
- Geopolitics: No significant geopolitical events were recorded in the past 30 days, and no pressure score is available.
- Watch item: The next CPI print will show whether inflation is closing the 4.8pp gap.
Peer context
Rank 29/31 in Europe & Central Asia · 10th percentile
Region avg 59.6 · best 68.1 · worst 48.1
Ranked either side
- Montenegro 54.3
- Lithuania 54.1
- Greece 52.7
- Kyrgyz Republic 48.1
90-day trend
External pulse
- Electricity demand, YoY
- +3.6%
- as of 2026-04-01
Electricity: Ember (CC BY 4.0)
Key indicators
External & activity
| Current account (% GDP) | -8.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Electricity demand (TWh) | 0.6 | 2026-04-01 | Ember |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 10.0% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 3.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 133.1K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -2.7% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 17.3% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 1.8 mo | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 118.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 38.6% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $7,899 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: control of corruption | -0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | -0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | -0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 0.1 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.