Country
Bahrain BHR
CBB
score date 2026-10-09 · 30d +0.6
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap92.7
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: bronze
Behind the curve—
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Geopolitical48.8
GDELT · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Growth33.8
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Liquidity33.4
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Governance50.3
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: bronze
Bahrain sovereign credibility, in brief
Bahrain scores 54.9 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 8 of 10 in Middle East, the 30th percentile of the region. The score has risen 0.3 points over the past seven days. CPI 2.9% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (55/100).
As of 2026-10-09 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Peer context
Rank 8/10 in Middle East · 30th percentile
Region avg 53.0 · best 61.1 · worst 17.4
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- -74.9%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- +5.3%
- as of 2026-10-10
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 103.7 | 2026-06-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | 4.8% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 5.7% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 3.5% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 161.6K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -9.5% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 1.4 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 157.5% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 1.1% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 0.9% | 2015-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| GDP per capita (USD) | $30,597 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 111.6% | 2020-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 71.6% | 2015-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | 0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 0.4 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | -0.3 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | 1.0 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 0.2 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | -1.5 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.