Bahrain BHR

Bahrain sovereign credibility, in brief

Bahrain scores 54.2 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 8 of 10 in Middle East, the 30th percentile of the region. CPI 2.3% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (54/100).

As of 2026-09-08 · scored daily from public data under methodology v6

Regional standing

Rank 8/10 in Middle East · 30th percentile

In one line

CPI 2.3% (implicit target) — credibility under pressure (54/100)

Bahrain holds #93 on the headline ranking, against 9 others we score in Middle East. None of them reach a stronger band than Bahrain; 2 sit in a weaker one. Their split: 7 in 50–65, 1 in 35–50, 1 in < 35. United Arab Emirates tops them at #21; Turkey closes them at #152. Closest either side of Bahrain: Jordan at #86 and Egypt at #121. Mid-table is where the ranking moves most: a couple of points reshuffles several places. Without a week-earlier reading there is no direction to set against the table yet. Same seven dimensions, same sources, same day.

Rank is the position in the full cross-country ranking, not within Middle East. 9 of these 9 carry one. Composite scores are part of a subscription.

Questions about the Bahrain score

What does a score of 54.2 mean for Bahrain?

54.2/100, band 50–65: some of the discipline holds and some of it slips, which is what the middle looks like. That is 4.2 points above the 50 mid-point of the scale. Seven weighted dimensions produce the figure and no analyst adjusts it afterwards. Nothing in it is a forecast — it grades what Bahrain's central bank has already done, said and delivered.

How often is Bahrain's score updated?

Nightly, off that day's public releases; this page carries the 2026-09-08 run. There is no reading from seven days ago to set this one against. A 90-day trailing average damps single prints, so a weekly move past a couple of points is a real one. Tomorrow's run replaces the 2026-09-08 figure outright rather than revising it in place.

What is the 50–65 credibility band?

Five bands cut the scale — ≥ 80, 65–80, 50–65, 35–50, < 35 — and 50–65 is step 3. Bahrain clears its 50 floor by 4.2 and stops 10.8 short of 65. The step above is 65–80 and the step below is 35–50. Bands grade monetary behaviour, not default risk, so none of this is a credit rating.