Country
Mauritius MUS
score date 2026-10-09 · 30d +0.5
Seven dimensions
Credibility gap92.2
IMF / national CPI · as of 2026-07-01 · coverage: silver
Behind the curve32.5
BIS policy rates + CPI · as of 2026-08-01 · coverage: silver
Communication—
Central-bank statements · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Geopolitical49.8
GDELT · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Growth46.5
World Bank WDI / IMF WEO · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Liquidity24.5
IMF BOP / BIS / FRED · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Governance64.7
World Bank WGI · as of 2026-10-09 · coverage: silver
Mauritius sovereign credibility, in brief
Mauritius scores 54.4 out of 100 on the composite sovereign credibility index — credibility band 50–65. That ranks it 21 of 43 in Sub-Saharan Africa, the 54th percentile of the region. The score has fallen 0.2 points over the past seven days. CPI 4.3% near 4.0% target — on target | credibility under pressure (54/100).
As of 2026-10-09 · scored daily from public data under methodology v8
Executive summary
written 10 Oct · score 9 OctMauritius has a moderate credibility position, with inflation just above target and a policy rate that leaves a thin real buffer.
- Composite: The score of 54.4 (moderate) ranks 21st of 44 in Sub-Saharan Africa, above the regional average of 49.3.
- Credibility gap: The gap score of 92.2 is high for a CPI overshoot of only 0.3pp, so check its drivers before relying on it.
- Inflation vs target: CPI of 4.3% sits 0.3pp above the 4.0% point target.
- Policy stance: The 4.8% policy rate implies an ex-post real rate of about 0.5%, a thin cushion against inflation.
- Geopolitics: The pressure score of 49.8 is not explained by the recent event feed, which contains no Mauritius-specific items.
- Watch item: The next CPI print, since a reading above 4.3% would widen the overshoot.
Peer context
Rank 21/43 in Sub-Saharan Africa · 54th percentile
Region avg 49.3 · best 61.6 · worst 14.1
Ranked either side
- Central African Republic 55.1
- Botswana 54.7
- Cameroon 53.5
- Namibia 52.7
90-day trend
External pulse
- Port trade momentum, 30d YoY
- +11.2%
- as of 2026-10-10
- Commodity terms-of-trade, 12m change
- -3.9%
- as of 2026-10-10
Sources: Kpler; UN Global Platform; IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) · Terms-of-trade: IMF Commodity Terms of Trade
Key indicators
External & activity
| Cpi monthly index | 112.9 | 2026-07-01 | ILO CPI |
| Current account (% GDP) | -7.0% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| FDI inflows (% GDP) | 4.6% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP growth, annual | 3.2% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Nightlights radiance (monthly sum) | 28K | 2025-12-01 | World Bank / NASA Black Marble |
| Nightlights radiance, YoY | -5.3% | 2025-12-01 | derived |
| Remittances (% GDP) | 1.9% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Reserves (months of imports) | 5.2 mo | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| Trade openness (% GDP) | 139.9% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate | 5.6% | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Unemployment rate (ILO) | 5.8% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
Structure
| External debt (% GNI) | 123.2% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank |
| GDP per capita (USD) | $12,991 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| Government debt (% GDP) | 57.1% | 2019-12-31 | World Bank |
| Labor force participation | 57.7% | 2024-12-31 | ILO |
| WGI: control of corruption | 0.4 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: government effectiveness | 0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: political stability | 0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: regulatory quality | 0.9 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: rule of law | 0.7 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
| WGI: voice & accountability | 0.6 | 2025-12-31 | World Bank |
Nightlights: World Bank / NASA Black Marble VIIRS (CC BY 4.0)
Follow the moves
Every figure above is recomputed daily from public data, with the source and as-of date shown for each one. The weekly briefing says which scores moved, and why.